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Red45
494722.2
561814.7
96237.0
Blue68
336013.9
591017.0
962418.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49460204060801004568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.1
22.322.4
Auto9.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 3.9
9624
#19
18.21.9
15.117.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Second
14.70.1
14.614.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 2.3
5910
#21
17.01.9
15.017.0
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Third
9623
#24
7.00.1
6.97.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 6.9
13.92.1
11.713.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed