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Red68
962418.2
543921.4
940620.7
Blue60
398619.3
494722.2
311710.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645602040801001201406860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
20.320.5
Auto9.8
Teleop8.8
End2.8
blue by 0.8
22.20.2
22.022.2
Auto9.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
9406
#10
20.70.3
19.519.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.4
End1.5
red by 1.4
3986
#11
19.30.2
19.119.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Third
9624
#19
18.20.2
17.217.5
Auto6.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
red by 7.4
3117
#26
10.80.2
10.710.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.5