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Red37
398619.3
494722.2
311710.8
Blue42
336013.9
591017.0
561814.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604902040801001203742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.4
22.422.0
Auto9.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 5.2
5910
#21
17.00.1
17.016.9
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Second
3986
#11
19.30.4
19.519.1
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End1.7
red by 4.6
14.70.1
14.714.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Third
3117
#26
10.80.4
11.010.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 3.1
13.90.1
13.913.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End1.3