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Red33
226211.6
85447.2
9523.0
Blue58
19018.5
176827.7
18111.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4056020801001203358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#3
23.00.3
23.923.6
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End2.3
blue by 4.7
27.70.3
25.926.2
Auto11.6
Teleop15.4
End0.7
Second
2262
#15
11.60.3
2.92.6
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
blue by 6.9
190
#4
18.50.5
12.613.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Third
8544
#28
7.20.5
11.010.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 4.2
181
#18
11.40.3
10.010.3
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed