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Red66
346422.8
85447.2
176827.7
Blue84
808526.8
15714.8
490931.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60660501001502006684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.7
26.227.0
Auto11.6
Teleop15.4
End0.7
blue by 3.5
31.21.4
26.327.6
Auto12.6
Teleop16.1
End2.4
Second
22.80.7
18.118.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
blue by 4.0
26.81.4
23.324.7
Auto11.0
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Third
8544
#28
7.21.2
10.511.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 7.5
157
#17
14.81.4
9.110.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed