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Red52
18111.4
808526.8
66204.7
Blue67
15714.8
226211.6
12619.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46330102040506070805267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.5
25.325.7
Auto11.0
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 7.5
126
#11
19.32.4
16.619.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Second
181
#18
11.40.5
9.810.2
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End1.6
blue by 3.3
157
#17
14.82.4
10.512.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Third
6620
#27
4.70.8
4.85.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End0.9
blue by 6.9
2262
#15
11.62.4
4.67.0
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed