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Red49
173512.6
15714.8
19018.5
Blue35
49087.5
51128.0
107116.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43362030405060704935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
18.50.8
10.811.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.7
red by 2.2
16.30.7
12.912.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Second
157
#17
14.80.5
12.813.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End1.7
red by 6.8
5112
#24
8.00.7
9.58.8
Auto5.1
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Third
1735
#23
12.60.8
14.215.0
Auto8.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2
red by 5.1
4908
#14
7.50.7
11.110.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned