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Red33
37199.3
226211.6
66907.4
Blue69
176827.7
66204.7
174023.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15680204060801001203369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2262
#15
11.60.5
7.07.5
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
blue by 16.1
27.70.4
26.126.5
Auto11.6
Teleop15.4
End0.7
Second
3719
#19
9.30.5
6.06.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 13.8
1740
#13
23.10.4
23.724.2
Auto12.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Third
6690
#22
7.40.9
6.87.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.8
red by 2.7
6620
#27
4.70.7
5.66.3
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed