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Red50
17523.3
66907.4
15714.8
Blue56
176827.7
226211.6
49087.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454802060801001205056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#8
23.30.3
20.220.5
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.5
blue by 4.4
27.70.7
26.527.2
Auto11.6
Teleop15.4
End0.7
Second
157
#17
14.80.3
13.013.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End1.7
red by 3.2
2262
#15
11.60.7
7.58.2
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
Third
6690
#22
7.40.4
7.78.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.8
blue by 0.2
4908
#14
7.50.7
9.410.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed