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Red62
226211.6
346422.8
19018.5
Blue64
975.8
490524.1
17523.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464901001506264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.4
18.720.1
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
blue by 1.4
4905
#10
24.11.3
19.821.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Second
190
#4
18.51.8
13.915.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.7
blue by 4.8
175
#8
23.31.3
21.623.0
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.5
Third
2262
#15
11.61.4
9.110.5
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
red by 5.7
97
#16
5.81.3
2.43.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed