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Red48
174023.1
49252.0
808526.8
Blue39
226211.6
17523.3
346422.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576040507080904839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.6
25.825.2
Auto11.0
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 3.5
175
#8
23.31.0
23.022.0
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.5
Second
1740
#13
23.10.6
24.123.6
Auto12.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
red by 0.3
22.81.0
20.119.1
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
Third
4925
#26
2.00.7
1.71.0
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.2
End-0.5
blue by 9.6
2262
#15
11.61.0
10.59.5
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed