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Red73
9523.0
17523.3
63336.9
Blue67
490524.1
12619.3
226211.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565840506070807367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#8
23.30.2
22.823.0
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.5
blue by 0.8
4905
#10
24.10.3
22.923.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Second
95
#3
23.00.2
22.522.6
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End2.3
red by 3.6
126
#11
19.30.3
18.118.5
Auto6.2
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Third
6333
#25
6.90.2
6.46.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.8
End0.9
blue by 4.7
2262
#15
11.60.3
10.410.7
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4