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Red82
37199.3
176827.7
808526.8
Blue70
107116.3
174023.1
135010.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6752204060801008270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.5
26.126.6
Auto11.6
Teleop15.4
End0.7
red by 4.6
1740
#13
23.10.0
22.922.9
Auto12.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Second
26.80.5
25.225.7
Auto11.0
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 10.5
16.30.0
16.116.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Third
3719
#19
9.30.5
7.78.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 0.7
1350
#20
10.00.0
9.910.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.2