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Red10
281513.0
34213.6
95716.6
Blue72
15395.3
513014.1
297434.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37421020305060701072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#7
13.62.6
12.710.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.9
blue by 21.2
34.81.1
19.220.3
Auto10.1
Teleop23.5
End1.2
Second
13.02.6
11.99.3
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End2.3
blue by 1.1
5130
#17
14.11.1
9.810.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Third
9571
#16
6.62.3
8.86.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End1.0
red by 1.2
1539
#21
5.31.1
8.29.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed