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Red40
857513.9
34213.6
947710.1
Blue22
348911.7
873613.4
28114.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333615202530404550554022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8575
#11
13.91.1
13.014.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 0.7
281
#5
14.51.4
11.19.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Second
342
#7
13.61.1
11.112.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.9
red by 0.2
8736
#19
13.41.4
12.311.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End0.3
Third
10.11.1
5.76.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 1.5
3489
#12
11.70.8
8.88.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed