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Red39
13197.1
34322.6
348911.7
Blue60
297434.8
28114.5
128711.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305802040803960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#3
22.61.0
14.815.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End1.8
blue by 12.2
34.81.2
25.726.9
Auto10.1
Teleop23.5
End1.2
Second
3489
#12
11.70.6
8.08.6
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End1.4
blue by 2.9
281
#5
14.51.2
9.710.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Third
1319
#29
7.11.0
7.48.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End1.6
blue by 4.4
1287
#27
11.61.2
13.614.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed