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Red16
12933.5
93150.5
61679.5
Blue24
105110.6
453312.7
28114.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274701020406070801624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6167
#31
9.51.9
9.17.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
blue by 5.1
281
#5
14.51.8
14.512.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Second
1293
#26
3.51.9
10.18.1
Auto0.4
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 9.2
12.71.8
12.410.7
Auto1.7
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Third
9315
#30
0.51.9
7.35.4
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.1
End0.3
blue by 10.2
1051
#18
10.61.8
13.011.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed