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Red45
95716.6
349013.1
105110.6
Blue37
33296.5
61679.5
873613.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302504060801001204537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#10
13.10.8
9.610.3
Auto8.0
Teleop3.4
End1.8
blue by 0.3
8736
#19
13.41.3
11.713.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End0.3
Second
1051
#18
10.60.9
11.512.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
red by 1.2
6167
#31
9.51.3
6.37.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Third
9571
#16
6.60.8
5.76.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Level
3329
#32
6.51.4
5.36.7
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed