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Red31
81374.4
16489.2
947710.1
Blue20
69617.7
857513.9
30914.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22280104050603120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.11.0
9.910.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 3.7
8575
#11
13.90.4
14.514.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Second
1648
#20
9.21.0
6.57.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End2.4
red by 1.5
6961
#15
7.70.4
5.55.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
8137
#24
4.41.1
4.05.1
Auto0.4
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 0.2
3091
#25
4.60.4
4.33.9
Auto0.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed