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Red24
105110.6
947710.1
30914.6
Blue67
34322.6
39762.0
297434.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563040801002467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
#18
10.60.3
12.412.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
blue by 24.1
34.81.3
30.932.2
Auto10.1
Teleop23.5
End1.2
Second
10.10.3
10.910.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 12.4
343
#3
22.61.3
20.221.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Third
3091
#25
4.60.3
3.93.6
Auto0.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
red by 2.6
3976
#14
2.01.3
1.32.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed