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Red71
297434.8
348911.7
281513.0
Blue24
445122.1
12933.5
105110.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6439020801007124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.3
32.233.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.5
End1.2
red by 12.7
22.11.2
22.421.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
13.01.2
11.913.1
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End2.3
red by 2.3
1051
#18
10.61.2
11.710.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Third
3489
#12
11.71.1
10.911.9
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End1.4
red by 8.2
1293
#26
3.51.2
4.63.4
Auto0.4
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed