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Red14
857513.9
453312.7
39762.0
Blue45
873613.4
34213.6
348911.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32470204060801445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8575
#11
13.90.4
14.614.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End1.3
red by 0.3
342
#7
13.60.2
14.214.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Second
12.70.4
13.413.0
Auto1.7
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 0.7
8736
#19
13.40.2
14.013.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End0.3
Third
3976
#14
2.00.4
2.42.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
blue by 9.6
3489
#12
11.70.2
12.212.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End1.4