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Red40
61679.5
281513.0
28114.5
Blue31
947710.1
128711.6
418910.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423602060801004031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#5
14.50.1
14.614.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
red by 3.0
1287
#27
11.60.1
11.911.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Second
13.00.1
13.113.1
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End2.3
red by 2.4
4189
#23
10.60.1
11.011.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Third
6167
#31
9.50.1
9.69.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
blue by 0.7
10.10.1
10.510.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1