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Red26
33296.5
105110.6
349013.1
Blue21
947710.1
128711.6
418910.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333701020506070802621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#10
13.10.1
13.213.1
Auto8.0
Teleop3.4
End1.8
red by 1.6
1287
#27
11.60.3
11.911.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Second
1051
#18
10.60.1
10.710.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Level
4189
#23
10.60.4
11.010.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Third
3329
#32
6.50.1
6.46.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 3.6
10.10.3
10.510.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1