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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42433050604931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.4
16.116.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 2.9
281
#6
21.10.8
19.518.7
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Second
6167
#18
12.00.4
13.313.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End1.0
red by 1.3
7085
#13
10.70.8
9.58.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Third
1051
#19
10.50.4
9.19.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 3.0
4701
#27
7.50.8
9.28.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed