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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52450204060801001209041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.3
21.421.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End0.4
red by 4.8
2815
#10
16.90.1
17.016.9
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Second
19.30.3
19.019.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
red by 3.6
3489
#26
15.70.1
15.915.7
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Third
1758
#16
6.50.3
6.26.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
blue by 2.4
8137
#15
8.90.1
9.08.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8