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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5245203040607080907136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.3
18.418.8
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 1.6
2815
#10
16.90.1
16.916.8
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Second
342
#4
17.70.3
17.618.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.6
red by 1.9
3489
#26
15.70.1
15.815.7
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Third
1539
#14
10.10.3
10.110.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
red by 1.3
8137
#15
8.90.1
8.98.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8