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Red100
445136.9
348918.9
949633.4
Blue61
34325.2
3429.9
636624.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016205015010061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.3
36.636.9
Auto14.7
Teleop20.2
End2.0
red by 11.7
343
#2
25.20.2
25.725.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End4.2
Second
33.40.3
33.133.3
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
red by 8.9
6366
#11
24.50.2
25.024.8
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End0.9
Third
3489
#14
18.90.3
18.618.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End0.8
red by 9.0
342
#23
9.90.2
10.19.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.0