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Red71
445136.9
99983.6
691925.1
Blue48
99946.5
949633.4
348918.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7863020401001201401607148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.5
32.933.4
Auto14.7
Teleop20.2
End2.0
red by 3.6
33.40.8
32.031.2
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
Second
6919
#13
25.10.5
28.729.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.9
End1.0
red by 6.2
3489
#14
18.90.8
21.220.3
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End0.8
Third
9998
#16
3.60.8
1.92.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 2.9
9994
#17
6.51.4
7.56.1
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed