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Red45
949633.4
99924.2
453318.9
Blue32
99991.1
99946.5
691925.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66540204060801001204532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.4
31.229.8
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
red by 8.2
6919
#13
25.10.9
29.228.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Second
4533
#19
18.91.4
23.922.5
Auto8.5
Teleop8.6
End1.8
red by 12.4
9994
#17
6.51.6
6.14.5
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.2
Third
9992
#18
4.22.4
6.13.8
Auto1.8
Teleop2.3
End0.2
red by 3.1
9999
#12
1.11.6
0.8-0.7
Auto2.7
Teleop-1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned