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Red77
99991.1
998215.1
445136.9
Blue58
691925.1
949633.4
886612.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5882020401001201401607758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.9
32.534.4
Auto14.7
Teleop20.2
End2.0
red by 3.6
33.41.2
29.828.5
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
Second
15.13.2
6.59.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End1.0
blue by 10.0
6919
#13
25.11.2
28.227.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Third
9999
#12
1.13.2
-0.72.5
Auto2.7
Teleop-1.7
End0.3
blue by 11.7
12.91.2
13.612.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed