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Red34
110222.9
949633.4
39761.2
Blue55
99924.2
99946.5
281517.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8421040601001201403455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.42.3
36.233.9
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
red by 15.5
17.90.5
16.516.9
Auto10.8
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Second
22.92.3
27.725.3
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.6
red by 16.4
9994
#17
6.50.8
8.39.1
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.2
Third
3976
#21
1.22.3
5.12.8
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
blue by 3.0
9992
#18
4.20.8
8.39.1
Auto1.8
Teleop2.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed