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Red64
550714.5
741918.0
207328.6
Blue30
84616.2
76678.2
247315.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8255020401001201406430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.8
32.631.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End2.2
red by 12.4
846
#36
16.21.5
18.617.1
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Second
7419
#15
18.00.8
20.219.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End2.6
red by 2.2
2473
#27
15.81.5
19.017.5
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Third
5507
#28
14.50.8
18.517.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.0
red by 6.4
7667
#38
8.21.5
15.113.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed