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Red39
38596.7
741918.0
84616.2
Blue46
804822.7
186816.9
41866.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505701001503946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#15
18.00.5
19.418.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End2.6
blue by 4.7
8048
#19
22.70.3
24.524.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
846
#36
16.20.5
17.116.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End1.1
blue by 0.8
1868
#18
16.90.3
16.716.4
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
3859
#25
6.70.5
9.59.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 0.3
4186
#39
6.40.3
9.69.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed