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Red51
84022.1
74138.0
62388.1
Blue41
84616.2
550714.5
41866.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584602040805141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#8
22.10.0
25.525.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.4
End1.3
red by 5.9
846
#36
16.20.5
16.616.1
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Second
6238
#26
8.10.0
13.213.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End-1.0
blue by 6.4
5507
#28
14.50.5
17.416.9
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Third
7413
#37
8.00.0
12.412.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End1.7
red by 1.7
4186
#39
6.40.5
9.38.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed