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Qual 232024 Sunset Showdown
Red81
76614.8
25440.9
804822.7
Blue46
592412.1
76678.2
661926.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95680204060801201401608146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
40.90.4
44.8→44.4
Auto13.8
Teleop21.8
End5.4
red by 14.7
6619
#24
26.21.7
33.4→31.7
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End0.7
Second
8048
#19
22.70.4
22.0→21.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
red by 10.6
5924
#23
12.11.7
18.8→17.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.0
Third
766
#7
14.80.4
15.6→15.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End0.6
red by 6.7
7667
#38
8.21.7
12.8→11.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed