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Qual 262024 Sunset Showdown
Red75
167844.5
6685.9
140325.7
Blue55
741918.0
84135.6
545818.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102810501507555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#5
44.51.0
51.2→50.3
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End4.6
red by 8.9
841
#4
35.61.4
33.0→31.6
Auto8.9
Teleop24.1
End2.7
Second
1403
#10
25.71.0
27.6→26.7
Auto8.1
Teleop17.8
End-0.1
red by 6.9
5458
#12
18.81.4
23.9→22.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.4
Third
668
#31
5.91.0
10.8→9.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.4
End1.5
blue by 12.1
7419
#15
18.01.4
18.9→17.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned