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Qual 282024 Sunset Showdown
Red21
25519.0
41866.4
87934.5
Blue71
186816.9
167121.6
76678.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2359040801001202171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#32
9.00.3
11.6→11.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 12.6
1671
#11
21.61.1
21.5→22.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Second
4186
#39
6.40.3
8.8→8.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End2.1
blue by 10.6
1868
#18
16.91.1
16.6→17.7
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
8793
#22
4.50.3
5.0→4.7
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End1.8
blue by 3.6
7667
#38
8.21.1
11.0→12.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed