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Red58
161920.5
592412.1
804822.7
Blue41
550714.5
91439.4
167844.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651080501502005841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#19
22.70.4
24.924.5
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
blue by 21.9
44.53.6
58.354.7
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End4.6
Second
1619
#14
20.50.4
17.817.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.4
red by 5.9
5507
#28
14.53.6
22.018.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Third
5924
#23
12.10.4
21.220.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.0
red by 2.7
9143
#40
9.43.6
12.38.7
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed84%Ensemble oddsMissed