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Qual 312024 Sunset Showdown
Red49
25440.9
19679.1
6685.9
Blue48
661926.2
65061.4
161920.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7954020401001201404948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
40.91.6
44.4→42.7
Auto13.8
Teleop21.8
End5.4
red by 14.7
6619
#24
26.20.2
31.7→31.5
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End0.7
Second
1967
#33
9.11.6
14.5→12.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End0.4
blue by 11.3
1619
#14
20.50.2
18.8→18.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.4
Third
668
#31
5.91.6
9.8→8.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.4
End1.5
red by 4.5
6506
#34
1.40.2
1.1→0.9
Auto0.1
Teleop1.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed