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Red27
545818.8
38596.7
186816.9
Blue79
207328.6
661926.2
666220.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479402060801201401602779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#12
18.81.4
22.621.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.4
blue by 9.8
28.60.0
29.729.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Second
1868
#18
16.91.4
17.716.3
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
blue by 9.2
6619
#24
26.20.0
31.531.4
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End0.7
Third
3859
#25
6.71.4
7.66.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 13.3
20.00.0
18.318.2
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed