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Red53
550714.5
74138.0
167121.6
Blue30
724511.9
19679.1
19912.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5935020801001205330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#11
21.60.2
22.622.8
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End2.6
red by 9.6
199
#20
12.00.3
10.310.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Second
5507
#28
14.50.2
16.016.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.0
red by 2.7
7245
#16
11.90.3
11.711.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Third
7413
#37
8.00.2
12.012.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End1.7
blue by 1.1
1967
#33
9.10.3
12.912.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed