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Red51
87934.5
84135.6
91439.4
Blue78
25519.0
207328.6
84022.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48660204060801001201405178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
35.60.0
33.833.8
Auto8.9
Teleop24.1
End2.7
red by 7.1
28.61.3
27.528.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Second
9143
#40
9.40.0
8.58.5
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End1.7
blue by 12.7
840
#8
22.11.3
21.823.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Third
8793
#22
4.50.0
3.53.5
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End1.8
blue by 4.4
2551
#32
9.01.3
8.710.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed