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Red52
161920.5
19912.0
38596.7
Blue55
641823.7
741918.0
65061.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334402060801001205255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#14
20.51.4
16.918.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.4
blue by 3.2
6418
#13
23.70.8
20.721.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End2.3
Second
199
#20
12.01.4
10.011.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End2.3
blue by 6.0
7419
#15
18.00.8
16.917.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End2.6
Third
3859
#25
6.71.4
3.95.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 5.3
6506
#34
1.40.8
0.61.4
Auto0.1
Teleop1.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed