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Red55
6685.9
84616.2
161920.5
Blue16
76678.2
25519.0
724511.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433501020305060705516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#14
20.50.7
18.319.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.4
red by 8.6
7245
#16
11.91.1
12.911.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Second
846
#36
16.20.7
14.014.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End1.1
red by 7.2
2551
#32
9.01.1
10.09.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Third
668
#31
5.90.7
5.56.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.4
End1.5
blue by 2.3
7667
#38
8.21.1
9.28.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed