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Red26
76678.2
65061.4
140325.7
Blue28
541921.0
641823.7
41866.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5883020401001201402628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#10
25.72.1
30.528.4
Auto8.1
Teleop17.8
End-0.1
red by 2.0
6418
#13
23.73.1
22.719.6
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End2.3
Second
7667
#38
8.22.1
17.215.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.6
blue by 12.8
5419
#30
21.03.1
36.533.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End3.5
Third
6506
#34
1.42.3
7.45.1
Auto0.1
Teleop1.0
End0.3
blue by 5.0
4186
#39
6.43.1
12.79.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed