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Red92
140325.7
247315.8
207328.6
Blue90
84616.2
161920.5
666220.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8057020401001209290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.5
28.629.1
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End2.2
red by 8.1
1619
#14
20.50.7
19.820.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.4
Second
1403
#10
25.70.5
25.726.2
Auto8.1
Teleop17.8
End-0.1
red by 5.7
20.00.7
19.420.0
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Third
2473
#27
15.80.5
15.816.3
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 0.4
846
#36
16.20.7
15.516.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End1.1