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Red7
76369.6
99985.6
856914.5
Blue24
99955.6
764515.1
95647.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434210203050607080724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8569
Unranked
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 0.6
7645
Unranked
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Second
7636
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 2.5
9564
Unranked
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
9998
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Level
9995
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody odds27%Melody odds
Ensemble
14%Ensemble odds3%Ensemble odds