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Red51
61913.1
763221.8
88057.3
Blue6
99985.6
85848.2
872524.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33560100150516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7632
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 3.0
8725
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto12.8
Teleop11.4
End0.6
Second
8805
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End0.1
blue by 1.0
8584
Unranked
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Third
6191
Unranked
3.10.0
3.13.1
Auto1.5
Teleop0.1
End1.5
blue by 2.5
9998
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody odds26%Melody odds
Ensemble
6%Ensemble odds2%Ensemble odds