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Red32
75898.6
942710.8
879010.9
Blue45
859515.0
767315.2
99955.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305402040801001201401603245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8790
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
blue by 4.3
7673
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Second
9427
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 4.2
8595
Unranked
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Third
7589
Unranked
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
red by 3.0
9995
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody odds61%Melody odds
Ensemble
7%Ensemble odds10%Ensemble odds